Bush Might Mourn Loss Of Red State Democrats

An interesting article from Peter Beinart of TNR by way of Kevin Drum.

The article's thesis is that President Bush is facing a crisis (tee hee!) in garnering crucial bipartisan support for his privatization plans, ironically, because of the GOP's success in eradicating the Zell Miller's of the party.  This leaves the GOP is running scared in the face of relatively united Democratic opposition. (woo hoo!)

The key grafs from the article:


Why is President Bush having more trouble (so far) trying to partially privatize Social Security than he had cutting taxes in 2001?
...
It may be that the GOP's victories in last November's elections, the very victories that Bush says give him the "political capital" to push through partial privatization, are actually making the effort harder.  By killing off the Democrats most susceptible to his influence, Bush may have created a political dynamic that works for his opponents, and against him.
...
Of course, the Republicans who beat them are virtually automatic votes for whatever Bush wants. But, on a major "reform" like Social Security, one vote from across the aisle is worth more than one from your own side. (Especially in the Senate, where the filibuster rule means you need 60 votes to pass major legislation.) Partly, that's because when a Democrat supports Bush's agenda, it's newsworthy, and it builds momentum in the press. When Democratic senators like Montana's Max Baucus signaled their openness to Bush's tax cut in 2001, it created a sense of inevitability that demoralized opponents. Conversely, the absence of Senate Democrats willing to do the same so far on Social Security privatization has produced a spate of stories that should worry the White House ("DEMOCRATS ARE FINDING UNITY IN THEIR OPPOSITION TO PRIVATE RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS," Los Angeles Times; "CENTRISTS STEER CLEAR OF SOCIAL SECURITY PLANS," The Hill; "DEMOCRATS ARE UNITED IN PLANS TO BLOCK TOP BUSH INITIATIVES," The Washington Post). And those news stories have shaped discussion on the chat shows, where even some conservative commentators now express pessimism about Bush's chances.

Leaves one wishing the 2002 elections hadn't purged us of the Zell Miller's before the Iraq War Vote, huh?!  Now, after reading this, go read Maryscott's wonderful rant from earlier today.

It's amazing what a little real opposition can do.  I want more!



Display:


red state dem (none / 0)

I was against privitization before, I am against it still.
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Thu Jan 20, 2005 at 05:36:27 PM EST

Whatdyaknow? (none / 0)

Turns out that the last 2 decades of ass-whoopings from the GOP could actually be doing us some good.

I just wonder if the Senate and Congressional Dems would be so united without angry net-roots, or if there would just be more of the same Daschle complacency.

by JohnGor0 on Thu Jan 20, 2005 at 06:10:06 PM EST

Re: Whatdyaknow? (none / 0)

I actually think its because Daschle has left. I think the portrayal in Fahrenheit 9/11 of him as a weak leaders is correct. He kept the Dems from fighting the Republicans. I think Harry Reid knows how to fight and will fight.
by sam89 on Thu Jan 20, 2005 at 06:16:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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